2026 Senate · Republican incumbent · Priority race

South Carolina U.S. Senate

Candidate fundraising side by side, plus separate fundamentals, money, and polling-average signals. We do not publish a single fused win percentage.

$7.3M

Itemized 2026 dollars across candidates in this race

Candidates with FEC totals in our directory

$4.2M

Democratic itemized total

$3.1M

Republican itemized total

01 / Fundraising

Who is raising more right now

Source · Sum of itemized individual contributions attributed to candidates in this seat, data through October 14, 2026.

Money vs. market

Two separate indicators — not a single WhoDonated win percentage. Fundamentals reflect seat lean and incumbency; the money signal reflects who has raised more in public FEC filings so far this cycle.

Fundamentals

13%Dem. win signal

Prior lean about 41% Democratic two-party share, plus incumbency and the national midterm environment.

Money signal

85%Dem. win signal

Democratic share of two-party receipts is 78% in the FEC cycle totals we score.

Polling averages appear in their own section below — never fused into these meters. Prediction-market odds appear only after we have written permission. Kalshi is not shown.

Source · Model trained on 2018–2024 races. Signals as of 2026-10-28. How we score races.

03 / Polling average

WhoDonated poll average

A transparent weighted average of public Main-ballot polls for this seat. It is a third, separate signal — not blended with fundraising or fundamentals into a win percentage.

Average margin

R +1.6±2.1

Dem. minus Rep., weighted points

Toplines

44.4D·45.8R

Weighted mean of published shares

Coverage

14polls

Last fieldwork October 26, 2026

Polls in this average

Pollster	Dates	Sample	Topline	Margin
Siena College	10-19 – 10-26	707 LV	Darline Graham (R) 48; Annie Andrews (D) 48; Other (OTH) 0; Undecided (UND) 3	Even
The Citadel	10-14 – 10-25	890 LV	Darline Graham (R) 43; Annie Andrews (D) 39; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 15	R +4.8
Targoz Market Research	10-16 – 10-25	895 LV	Darline Graham (R) 47; Annie Andrews (D) 46; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 4	R +1.0
Impact Research(D)	10-15 – 10-21	800 LV	Darline Graham (R) 44; Annie Andrews (D) 45; Other (OTH) 5; Undecided (UND) 5	D +1.1
onpointpolitics	10-18 – 10-19	511 RV	Darline Graham (R) 42; Annie Andrews (D) 45; Other (OTH) 5; Undecided (UND) 7	D +3.3
Trafalgar Group(R)	10-16 – 10-18	1,095 LV	Darline Graham (R) 49; Annie Andrews (D) 46; Other (OTH) 5; Undecided (UND) 1	R +3.0
Rasmussen Reports	10-05 – 10-08	837 LV	Darline Graham (R) 49; Annie Andrews (D) 45; Undecided (UND) 6	R +4.3
InsiderAdvantage(R)	09-28 – 09-29	1,200 LV	Darline Graham (R) 46; Annie Andrews (D) 45; Other (OTH) 5; Undecided (UND) 4	R +1.0
Trafalgar Group(R)	09-23 – 09-25	1,087 LV	Darline Graham (R) 43; Annie Andrews (D) 42; Other (OTH) 6; Undecided (UND) 9	R +1.1
Rasmussen Reports	2026-09-14	1,006 LV	Darline Graham (R) 48; Annie Andrews (D) 43; Undecided (UND) 9	R +5.5
InsiderAdvantage(R)	09-08 – 09-09	1,200 LV	Darline Graham (R) 45; Annie Andrews (D) 43; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 9	R +2.2
Abacus Data	08-26 – 08-28	306 LV	Darline Graham (R) 55; Annie Andrews (D) 42; Other (OTH) 3	R +13.0
Impact Research(D)	08-18 – 08-24	700 LV	Darline Graham (R) 41; Annie Andrews (D) 41; Other (OTH) 5; Undecided (UND) 13	Even
Impact Research(D)	08-14 – 08-22	900 LV	Darline Graham (R) 39; Annie Andrews (D) 42; Other (OTH) 6; Undecided (UND) 13	D +3.4

Source · Poll data: Polling Forecast (www.pollingforecast.com), CC BY 4.0. Individual poll figures belong to the named pollsters; Wikipedia-sourced rows are CC BY-SA 4.0. Built October 29, 2026; poll dataset as of October 27, 2026. Full method · Download JSON.

Candidates

Side-by-side fundraising from itemized FEC individual contributions. Totals are committee receipts attributed to each candidate in our directory — open a profile for employers, geography and gift sizes.

DemocraticDEM · Challenger
Annie Andrews
$4.2M
Donors
7,727
Small-$ share
23%
In-state
40%
PAC $
$172K
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Incumbent
Lindsey O. Graham
$1.2M
Donors
932
Small-$ share
2%
In-state
21%
PAC $
$997K
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Challenger
Ralph Norman
$483K
Donors
256
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
76%
PAC $
$31K
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Challenger
Russell Fry
$474K
Donors
159
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
80%
PAC $
$60K
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Challenger
Mark Lynch
$281K
Donors
578
Small-$ share
19%
In-state
64%
PAC $
$500
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Challenger
Paul Dans
$276K
Donors
143
Small-$ share
1%
In-state
19%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Challenger
Darline Graham
$249K
Donors
131
Small-$ share
1%
In-state
19%
PAC $
$221K
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Challenger
Andre Bauer
$114K
Donors
55
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
100%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Challenger
Marshall C Sanford
$13K
Donors
12
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
51%
PAC $
$1K
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Challenger
Kyle Odonnell Freeman
$12K
Donors
4
Small-$ share
6%
In-state
18%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Challenger
Thomas Keith Dismukes
$12K
Donors
16
Small-$ share
2%
In-state
96%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Challenger
Duke Buckner
$10K
Donors
10
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
100%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →

Showing the top 12 of 16 candidates by itemized dollars. Browse the full field on the Candidates tab.

Source · FEC itemized individual contributions, data through October 14, 2026. Public record for research and journalism.

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