Skip to content
WhoDonated
Contact

2026 Senate · Democratic incumbent

Rhode Island U.S. Senate

Candidate fundraising side by side, plus separate fundamentals, money, and polling-average signals. We do not publish a single fused win percentage.

$2.2M

Itemized 2026 dollars across candidates in this race

3

Candidates with FEC totals in our directory

$2.1M

Democratic itemized total

$80K

Republican itemized total

01 / Fundraising

Who is raising more right now

Source · Sum of itemized individual contributions attributed to candidates in this seat, data through October 14, 2026.

Money vs. market

Two separate indicators — not a single WhoDonated win percentage. Fundamentals reflect seat lean and incumbency; the money signal reflects who has raised more in public FEC filings so far this cycle.

Fundamentals

97%Dem. win signal

Prior lean about 57% Democratic two-party share, plus incumbency and the national midterm environment.

Money signal

96%Dem. win signal

Democratic share of two-party receipts is 95% in the FEC cycle totals we score.

Polling averages appear in their own section below — never fused into these meters. Prediction-market odds appear only after we have written permission. Kalshi is not shown.

Source · Model trained on 2018–2024 races. Signals as of 2026-10-28. How we score races.

03 / Polling average

WhoDonated poll average

A transparent weighted average of public Main-ballot polls for this seat. It is a third, separate signal — not blended with fundraising or fundamentals into a win percentage.

Average margin

D +30.8±8.1

Dem. minus Rep., weighted points

Toplines

56.7D·28.7R

Weighted mean of published shares

Coverage

6polls

Last fieldwork October 11, 2026

Polls in this average

PollsterDatesSampleToplineMargin
Emerson College10-08 – 10-11800 LVJack Reed (D) 59; Raymond McKay (R) 25; Michael Bahry (OTH) 7; Undecided (UND) 9D +37.4
Embold Research10-05 – 10-08815 LVJack Reed (D) 55; Raymond McKay (R) 32; Michael Bahry (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 9D +25.3
University of New Hampshire09-17 – 09-21595 LVJack Reed (D) 53; Raymond McKay (R) 33; Other (OTH) 6; Undecided (UND) 8D +21.7
University of New Hampshire08-20 – 08-24750 LVJack Reed (D) 51; Raymond McKay (R) 31; Other (OTH) 6; Undecided (UND) 13D +22.7
University of New Hampshire06-18 – 06-23664 LVJack Reed (D) 52; Raymond McKay (R) 35; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 12D +19.3
University of New Hampshire04-16 – 04-20556 LVJack Reed (D) 52; Raymond McKay (R) 34; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 12D +20.5

Source · Poll data: Polling Forecast (www.pollingforecast.com), CC BY 4.0. Individual poll figures belong to the named pollsters; Wikipedia-sourced rows are CC BY-SA 4.0. Built October 31, 2026; poll dataset as of October 29, 2026. Full method · Download JSON.

Candidates

Side-by-side fundraising from itemized FEC individual contributions. Totals are committee receipts attributed to each candidate in our directory — open a profile for employers, geography and gift sizes.

Source · FEC itemized individual contributions, data through October 14, 2026. Public record for research and journalism.

← All 2026 racesMethodologyCandidates