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2026 Senate · Republican incumbent · Priority race

Ohio U.S. Senate

Candidate fundraising side by side, plus separate fundamentals, money, and polling-average signals. We do not publish a single fused win percentage.

$22M

Itemized 2026 dollars across candidates in this race

6

Candidates with FEC totals in our directory

$18M

Democratic itemized total

$4.2M

Republican itemized total

01 / Fundraising

Who is raising more right now

Source · Sum of itemized individual contributions attributed to candidates in this seat, data through October 14, 2026.

Money vs. market

Two separate indicators — not a single WhoDonated win percentage. Fundamentals reflect seat lean and incumbency; the money signal reflects who has raised more in public FEC filings so far this cycle.

Fundamentals

17%Dem. win signal

Prior lean about 44% Democratic two-party share, plus incumbency and the national midterm environment.

Money signal

84%Dem. win signal

Democratic share of two-party receipts is 77% in the FEC cycle totals we score.

Polling averages appear in their own section below — never fused into these meters. Prediction-market odds appear only after we have written permission. Kalshi is not shown.

Source · Model trained on 2018–2024 races. Signals as of 2026-10-28. How we score races.

03 / Polling average

WhoDonated poll average

A transparent weighted average of public Main-ballot polls for this seat. It is a third, separate signal — not blended with fundraising or fundamentals into a win percentage.

Average margin

D +3.4±1.5

Dem. minus Rep., weighted points

Toplines

48.0D·44.8R

Weighted mean of published shares

Coverage

35polls

Last fieldwork October 26, 2026

Polls in this average

PollsterDatesSampleToplineMargin
Suffolk University10-21 – 10-26500 LVSherrod Brown (D) 46.6; Jon Husted (R) 43.8; Other (OTH) 3.2; Undecided (UND) 4.4D +3.0
Echelon Insights10-16 – 10-23508 LVSherrod Brown (D) 47; Jon Husted (R) 47; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 3Even
RedBox Research(D)10-20 – 10-232,998 LVJon Husted (R) 44; Sherrod Brown (D) 47; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 4D +3.2
InsiderAdvantage(R)10-21 – 10-221,200 LVJon Husted (R) 44; Sherrod Brown (D) 47D +3.3
VoteHub/Verasight10-01 – 10-20531 LVSherrod Brown (D) 47.5; Jon Husted (R) 43.6; Other (OTH) 2.1; Undecided (UND) 6.8D +4.2
Beacon Research/ Shaw & Co. Research10-15 – 10-191,592 LVJon Husted (R) 47; Sherrod Brown (D) 52; Undecided (UND) 2D +5.1
Marist College10-15 – 10-18— LVSherrod Brown (D) 48; Jon Husted (R) 44; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 4D +4.3
ActiVote09-26 – 10-18400 LVJon Husted (R) 50; Sherrod Brown (D) 50Even
Rasmussen Reports(R)10-12 – 10-14901 LVJon Husted (R) 49; Sherrod Brown (D) 47; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 2R +2.0
New River Strategies/GS Strategy Group10-09 – 10-13959 LVSherrod Brown (D) 49; Jon Husted (R) 43; Other (OTH) 7; Undecided (UND) 1D +6.1
Bowling Green State University / YouGov09-29 – 10-091,000 LVJon Husted (R) 42; Sherrod Brown (D) 48D +6.7
co/efficient(R)10-05 – 10-06925 LVJon Husted (R) 44; Sherrod Brown (D) 43; Greg Levy (I) 3; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 9R +1.1
CNN / SSRS09-29 – 10-05760 LVJon Husted (R) 43; Sherrod Brown (D) 49; Other (OTH) 7; Undecided (UND) 1D +6.1
Siena College09-22 – 10-01616 LVJon Husted (R) 46; Sherrod Brown (D) 49; Undecided (UND) 5D +3.2
YouGov(D)09-18 – 09-303,780 LVJon Husted (R) 45; Sherrod Brown (D) 49; Other (OTH) 2; Undecided (UND) 4D +4.2
InsiderAdvantage(R)09-28 – 09-291,200 LVSherrod Brown (D) 44; Jon Husted (R) 43; Greg Levy (I) 2; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 7D +1.1
Big Data Poll09-26 – 09-27680 LVJon Husted (R) 43; Sherrod Brown (D) 46D +3.4
Suffolk University09-23 – 09-27500 LVSherrod Brown (D) 46.6; Jon Husted (R) 44; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 6D +2.8
Marist College09-24 – 09-271,298 RVSherrod Brown (D) 51; Jon Husted (R) 43; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 4D +8.4
Quantus Insights(R)09-21 – 09-23695 LVJon Husted (R) 47; Sherrod Brown (D) 47; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 2Even
Rasmussen Reports(R)09-22 – 09-231,115 LVJon Husted (R) 43; Sherrod Brown (D) 46; Other (OTH) 5; Undecided (UND) 7D +3.2
Trafalgar Group(R)09-14 – 09-161,085 LVJon Husted (R) 42; Sherrod Brown (D) 45; Other (OTH) 6; Undecided (UND) 6D +3.2
Bowling Green State University / YouGov09-01 – 09-101,000 LVJon Husted (R) 45; Sherrod Brown (D) 48; Other (OTH) 7D +3.0
InsiderAdvantage(R)09-08 – 09-091,200 LVJon Husted (R) 42; Sherrod Brown (D) 47; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 8D +5.4
Abacus Data08-26 – 08-28306 LVJon Husted (R) 46; Sherrod Brown (D) 52; Other (OTH) 3D +5.9
Beacon Research/ Shaw & Co. Research08-06 – 08-101,008 RVJon Husted (R) 45; Sherrod Brown (D) 53; Undecided (UND) 2D +8.2
Tulchin Research(D)07-29 – 08-04600 LVJon Husted (R) 43; Sherrod Brown (D) 47; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 6D +4.3
Siena College06-15 – 06-28601 LVJon Husted (R) 50; Sherrod Brown (D) 47; Undecided (UND) 3R +3.1
Fabrizio, Lee & Associates06-14 – 06-16800 LVJon Husted (R) 45; Sherrod Brown (D) 48; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 7D +3.2
Tulchin Research(D)06-02 – 06-04600 LVJon Husted (R) 42; Sherrod Brown (D) 46; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 7D +4.3
Beacon Research/ Shaw & Co. Research05-28 – 06-011,015 RVJon Husted (R) 45; Sherrod Brown (D) 53; Undecided (UND) 2D +8.2
Bowling Green State University / YouGov04-07 – 04-141,000 RVJon Husted (R) 50; Sherrod Brown (D) 47; Other (OTH) 3R +3.0
Echelon Insights(R)04-03 – 04-09413 LVJon Husted (R) 51; Sherrod Brown (D) 45; Undecided (UND) 4R +6.2
Quantus Insights(R)03-13 – 03-14784 LVJon Husted (R) 46; Sherrod Brown (D) 44; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 6R +2.1
OnMessage Inc.(R)03-03 – 03-08600 LVJon Husted (R) 45; Sherrod Brown (D) 47; Undecided (UND) 8D +2.2

Source · Poll data: Polling Forecast (www.pollingforecast.com), CC BY 4.0. Individual poll figures belong to the named pollsters; Wikipedia-sourced rows are CC BY-SA 4.0. Built October 31, 2026; poll dataset as of October 29, 2026. Full method · Download JSON.

Candidates

Side-by-side fundraising from itemized FEC individual contributions. Totals are committee receipts attributed to each candidate in our directory — open a profile for employers, geography and gift sizes.

Source · FEC itemized individual contributions, data through October 14, 2026. Public record for research and journalism.

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