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2026 Senate · Republican incumbent · Priority race

Nebraska U.S. Senate

Candidate fundraising side by side, plus separate fundamentals, money, and polling-average signals. We do not publish a single fused win percentage.

$5.5M

Itemized 2026 dollars across candidates in this race

4

Candidates with FEC totals in our directory

$0

Democratic itemized total

$2.0M

Republican itemized total

01 / Fundraising

Who is raising more right now

Source · Sum of itemized individual contributions attributed to candidates in this seat, data through October 14, 2026.

Money vs. market

Two separate indicators — not a single WhoDonated win percentage. Fundamentals reflect seat lean and incumbency; the money signal reflects who has raised more in public FEC filings so far this cycle.

Fundamentals

11%Dem. win signal

Prior lean about 40% Democratic two-party share, plus incumbency and the national midterm environment.

Money signal

0%Dem. win signal

Democratic share of two-party receipts is 0% in the FEC cycle totals we score.

Polling averages appear in their own section below — never fused into these meters. Prediction-market odds appear only after we have written permission. Kalshi is not shown.

Source · Model trained on 2018–2024 races. Signals as of 2026-10-28. How we score races.

03 / Polling average

WhoDonated poll average

A transparent weighted average of public Main-ballot polls for this seat. It is a third, separate signal — not blended with fundraising or fundamentals into a win percentage.

Average margin

R +2.2±3.3

Dem. minus Rep., weighted points

Toplines

44.9D·46.9R

Weighted mean of published shares

Coverage

15polls

Last fieldwork October 29, 2026

Polls in this average

PollsterDatesSampleToplineMargin
Siena College10-23 – 10-29809 LVPete Ricketts (R) 49; Dan Osborn (I) 43; Other (OTH) 0; Undecided (UND) 8R +6.5
Echelon Insights10-16 – 10-23407 LVPete Ricketts (R) 47; Dan Osborn (I) 46; Other (OTH) 3; Undecided (UND) 4R +1.0
GBAO(D)10-18 – 10-22800 LVPete Ricketts (R) 45; Dan Osborn (I) 46; Undecided (UND) 7D +1.1
Impact Research(D)10-14 – 10-20600 LVPete Ricketts (R) 50; Dan Osborn (I) 48; Undecided (UND) 1R +2.0
Concord Public Opinion Partners(D)10-15 – 10-18500 LVPete Ricketts (R) 41; Dan Osborn (I) 48; Other (OTH) 6; Undecided (UND) 5D +7.4
National Public Affairs(R)10-15 – 10-18598 LVPete Ricketts (R) 46; Dan Osborn (I) 43; Other (OTH) 5; Undecided (UND) 5R +3.2
National Public Affairs10-02 – 10-05800 LVPete Ricketts (R) 46; Dan Osborn (I) 43; Other (OTH) 6; Undecided (UND) 5R +3.2
YouGov09-24 – 10-031,809 LVPete Ricketts (R) 47; Dan Osborn (I) 48; Undecided (UND) 3D +1.1
co/efficient(R)09-28 – 09-301,113 LVPete Ricketts (R) 45; Dan Osborn (I) 40; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 11R +5.6
SurveyUSA09-08 – 09-13503 LVPete Ricketts (R) 42; Dan Osborn (I) 46; Other (OTH) 4; Undecided (UND) 7D +4.3
GBAO(D)09-03 – 09-08800 LVPete Ricketts (R) 46; Dan Osborn (I) 47; Undecided (UND) 7D +1.1
Impact Research(D)08-09 – 08-13600 LVPete Ricketts (R) 47; Dan Osborn (I) 47; Undecided (UND) 5Even
GBAO(D)07-01 – 07-31800 LVPete Ricketts (R) 47; Dan Osborn (I) 47; Undecided (UND) 5Even
Tavern Research(D)05-08 – 05-111,165 LVPete Ricketts (R) 42; Dan Osborn (I) 47; Undecided (UND) 12D +5.6
GBAO(D)04-01 – 04-30800 LVPete Ricketts (R) 45; Dan Osborn (I) 46; Undecided (UND) 7D +1.1

Source · Poll data: Polling Forecast (www.pollingforecast.com), CC BY 4.0. Individual poll figures belong to the named pollsters; Wikipedia-sourced rows are CC BY-SA 4.0. Built October 31, 2026; poll dataset as of October 29, 2026. Full method · Download JSON.

Candidates

Side-by-side fundraising from itemized FEC individual contributions. Totals are committee receipts attributed to each candidate in our directory — open a profile for employers, geography and gift sizes.

Source · FEC itemized individual contributions, data through October 14, 2026. Public record for research and journalism.

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