2026 Senate · Open seat · Priority race

Illinois U.S. Senate

Candidate fundraising side by side, plus separate fundamentals, money, and polling-average signals. We do not publish a single fused win percentage.

$12M

Itemized 2026 dollars across candidates in this race

Candidates with FEC totals in our directory

$11M

Democratic itemized total

$567K

Republican itemized total

01 / Fundraising

Who is raising more right now

Source · Sum of itemized individual contributions attributed to candidates in this seat, data through October 14, 2026.

Money vs. market

Two separate indicators — not a single WhoDonated win percentage. Fundamentals reflect seat lean and incumbency; the money signal reflects who has raised more in public FEC filings so far this cycle.

Fundamentals

82%Dem. win signal

Prior lean about 56% Democratic two-party share, plus incumbency and the national midterm environment.

Money signal

92%Dem. win signal

Democratic share of two-party receipts is 87% in the FEC cycle totals we score.

Polling averages appear in their own section below — never fused into these meters. Prediction-market odds appear only after we have written permission. Kalshi is not shown.

Source · Model trained on 2018–2024 races. Signals as of 2026-10-28. How we score races.

03 / Polling average

WhoDonated poll average

A transparent weighted average of public Main-ballot polls for this seat. It is a third, separate signal — not blended with fundraising or fundamentals into a win percentage.

Average margin

D +16.7±1.5

Dem. minus Rep., weighted points

Toplines

56.7D·40.5R

Weighted mean of published shares

Coverage

2polls

Last fieldwork October 20, 2026

Polls in this average

Pollster	Dates	Sample	Topline	Margin
ActiVote	09-26 – 10-20	400 LV	Juliana Stratton (D) 58.5; Don Tracy (R) 41.5	D +17.0
Public Policy Polling(R)	09-30 – 10-01	569 LV	Juliana Stratton (D) 49; Don Tracy (R) 36; Undecided (UND) 15	D +15.3

Source · Poll data: Polling Forecast (www.pollingforecast.com), CC BY 4.0. Individual poll figures belong to the named pollsters; Wikipedia-sourced rows are CC BY-SA 4.0. Built October 31, 2026; poll dataset as of October 29, 2026. Full method · Download JSON.

Candidates

Side-by-side fundraising from itemized FEC individual contributions. Totals are committee receipts attributed to each candidate in our directory — open a profile for employers, geography and gift sizes.

DemocraticDEM · Open seat
S Krishnamoorthi
$6.9M
Donors
4,803
Small-$ share
1%
In-state
42%
PAC $
$384K
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Juliana Stratton
$3.6M
Donors
3,266
Small-$ share
6%
In-state
67%
PAC $
$481K
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Robin Kelly
$665K
Donors
822
Small-$ share
8%
In-state
67%
PAC $
$194K
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Open seat
Don Tracy
$366K
Donors
243
Small-$ share
1%
In-state
74%
PAC $
$11K
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Open seat
Jeannie Evans
$166K
Donors
72
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
26%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Kevin Ryan
$74K
Donors
89
Small-$ share
8%
In-state
56%
PAC $
$250
Follow the money →
Independent or third partyIND · Open seat
Whitfield Harrington Jr.
$23K
Donors
30
Small-$ share
8%
In-state
3%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Open seat
John Goodman
$16K
Donors
13
Small-$ share
1%
In-state
80%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Bryan Maxwell
$14K
Donors
7
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
8%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Open seat
Pamela Long
$12K
Donors
21
Small-$ share
13%
In-state
54%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Christopher Alexander Swann
$11K
Donors
6
Small-$ share
3%
In-state
98%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Steve Botsford
$7K
Donors
7
Small-$ share
3%
In-state
83%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →

Showing the top 12 of 15 candidates by itemized dollars. Browse the full field on the Candidates tab.

Source · FEC itemized individual contributions, data through October 14, 2026. Public record for research and journalism.

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