2026 House · Open seat

Nevada 2nd U.S. House

Candidate fundraising side by side, plus separate fundamentals, money, and polling-average signals. We do not publish a single fused win percentage.

$1.4M

Itemized 2026 dollars across candidates in this race

Candidates with FEC totals in our directory

$265K

Democratic itemized total

$1.1M

Republican itemized total

01 / Fundraising

Who is raising more right now

Source · Sum of itemized individual contributions attributed to candidates in this seat, data through October 14, 2026.

Money vs. market

Two separate indicators — not a single WhoDonated win percentage. Fundamentals reflect seat lean and incumbency; the money signal reflects who has raised more in public FEC filings so far this cycle.

Fundamentals

1%Dem. win signal

Prior lean about 0% Democratic two-party share, plus incumbency and the national midterm environment.

Money signal

9%Dem. win signal

Democratic share of two-party receipts is 30% in the FEC cycle totals we score.

Polling averages appear in their own section below — never fused into these meters. Prediction-market odds appear only after we have written permission. Kalshi is not shown.

Source · Model trained on 2018–2024 races. Signals as of 2026-10-28. How we score races.

03 / Polling average

WhoDonated poll average

A transparent weighted average of public Main-ballot polls for this seat. It is a third, separate signal — not blended with fundraising or fundamentals into a win percentage.

Average margin

R +2.0±1.5

Dem. minus Rep., weighted points

Toplines

43.6D·45.5R

Weighted mean of published shares

Coverage

3polls

Last fieldwork October 13, 2026

Polls in this average

Pollster	Dates	Sample	Topline	Margin
Public Policy Polling(D)	10-12 – 10-13	560 LV	Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) 44; David Flippo (R) 46; Undecided (UND) 10	R +2.2
GBAO(D)	08-31 – 09-03	500 LV	David Flippo (R) 37; Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) 38; Lynn Champan (OTH) 14; Undecided (UND) 11	D +1.1
Strategies 360(D)	08-22 – 08-26	400 LV	David Flippo (R) 45; Teresa Benitez-Thompson (D) 42; Lynn Champan (OTH) 7; Other (OTH) 1; Undecided (UND) 6	R +3.2

Source · Poll data: Polling Forecast (www.pollingforecast.com), CC BY 4.0. Individual poll figures belong to the named pollsters; Wikipedia-sourced rows are CC BY-SA 4.0. Built November 1, 2026; poll dataset as of October 30, 2026. Full method · Download JSON.

Candidates

Side-by-side fundraising from itemized FEC individual contributions. Totals are committee receipts attributed to each candidate in our directory — open a profile for employers, geography and gift sizes.

RepublicanREP · Challenger
David Flippo
$403K
Donors
170
Small-$ share
1%
In-state
42%
PAC $
$113K
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Open seat
James Arnold Settelmeyer
$377K
Donors
262
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
89%
PAC $
$42K
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Incumbent
Mark Eugene Amodei
$260K
Donors
149
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
64%
PAC $
$175K
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Teresa Benitez-Thompson
$156K
Donors
224
Small-$ share
5%
In-state
87%
PAC $
$54K
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Matthew William Fonken
$52K
Donors
61
Small-$ share
3%
In-state
67%
PAC $
$6K
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Kathy L Durham
$41K
Donors
45
Small-$ share
1%
In-state
28%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Open seat
George Forbush
$27K
Donors
20
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
92%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
RepublicanREP · Open seat
Mike Smith
$25K
Donors
27
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
30%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Joshua Russell Hebert
$9K
Donors
3
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
100%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →
DemocraticDEM · Open seat
Morgan Leigh Wadsworth
$7K
Donors
4
Small-$ share
0%
In-state
100%
PAC $
$0
Follow the money →

Source · FEC itemized individual contributions, data through October 14, 2026. Public record for research and journalism.

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