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WhoDonated

2026 House · Republican incumbent

North Carolina 10th U.S. House

Candidate fundraising side by side, plus separate fundamentals, money, and polling-average signals. We do not publish a single fused win percentage.

$573K

Itemized 2026 dollars across candidates in this race

6

Candidates with FEC totals in our directory

$56K

Democratic itemized total

$517K

Republican itemized total

01 / Fundraising

Who is raising more right now

Source · Sum of itemized individual contributions attributed to candidates in this seat, data through October 14, 2026.

Money vs. market

Two separate indicators — not a single WhoDonated win percentage. Fundamentals reflect seat lean and incumbency; the money signal reflects who has raised more in public FEC filings so far this cycle.

Fundamentals

11%Dem. win signal

Prior lean about 40% Democratic two-party share, plus incumbency and the national midterm environment.

Money signal

2%Dem. win signal

Democratic share of two-party receipts is 10% in the FEC cycle totals we score.

Polling averages appear in their own section below — never fused into these meters. Prediction-market odds appear only after we have written permission. Kalshi is not shown.

Source · Model trained on 2018–2024 races. Signals as of 2026-10-28. How we score races.

03 / Polling average

Public polls

Not enough public polling

Only 1 Main-ballot poll so far. We publish an average at two or more.

PollsterDatesSampleToplineMargin
Ragnar Research Partners(R)03-10 – 03-12400 LVPat Harrigan (R) 52; Ashley Bell (D) 37; Undecided (UND) 11R +16.9

Source · Poll data: Polling Forecast (www.pollingforecast.com), CC BY 4.0. Individual poll figures belong to the named pollsters; Wikipedia-sourced rows are CC BY-SA 4.0. Averages as of October 30, 2026. Method.

Candidates

Side-by-side fundraising from itemized FEC individual contributions. Totals are committee receipts attributed to each candidate in our directory — open a profile for employers, geography and gift sizes.

Source · FEC itemized individual contributions, data through October 14, 2026. Public record for research and journalism.

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